AVN/GFS Forecast for Jerusalem (at 925mb) / Automatically Updated
Information on forecasts:
Model
|
GFS 3 day
|
GFS 0-7 day
|
GFS 8-15 days
|
Resolution
|
1 deg
|
2.5 deg
|
Lat
|
32 N
|
32.5 N
|
Long
|
35 E
|
35 E
|
Updated every
|
12 hrs (11AM & 11PM
IST)
|
Guide to interpreting the meteograms is found at the IGES website
Surface conditions at Jerusalem (temperature & humidity) are corrected
according to:
Tsurf(925mb) ~ Tsurf(1000mb)
+ [T3D(925mb)-T3D(1000mb)]
RHsurf(925mb) ~ RH3D(925mb)
This is not too accurate, but not a bad approximation either.
Snow is predicted if temperature at 850mb is below -3.5°C, or if Tsurfmax<0.5°C
Rain/Snow is predicted if temperature at 850mb is above -3.5°C but
below -2°C,
or if Tsurfmin < 2°C.
For how to assess snow, see Israel
Weather website.
Predicted sounding for model 0 time + 12 hrs.
Black = Temperature
Green = Dew Point
Nir Shaviv's Web Page